Projection of Future Meteorological Droughts in Lake Urmia Basin, Iran
نویسندگان
چکیده
Future changes (2015–2100) in precipitation and meteorological droughts Lake Urmia Basin were investigated using an average mean ensemble of eight general circulation models (GCMs) with high-resolution datasets socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSPs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). In order to project drought, standardized index (SPI) was calculated. Overall, results revealed that will decrease by 3.21% 7.18% SSP1-2.6 SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. The based on 6-month-timescale SPI indices projected more “Extremely dry” events scenarios. frequency months compared is expected increase 14, 7, 10, 5, 7 for Mahabad, Maragheh, Saqez, Sarab, Tabriz, Takab, stations, contrast, wet” decline all stations Basin. this study provide useful insight considering drought prevention measures be implemented advance Basin, which currently experiencing various environmental issues.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Water
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2073-4441']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w15081558